Georgia senate race polls real clear politics

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His receipts through the second quarter of 2025 top $3.5 million, but that includes a loan to the campaign of $2 million. This means the candidates will have to spend heavily in the primary just to win the right to challenge Sen. Ossoff.

A total of 44 percent of the tested polling sample expressed familiarity with Rep.

Carter, 42 percent could identify Rep. Collins, and 37 percent recognized Derek Dooley’s name. The Georgia electorate has returned some of the closest election results in the country since the 2018 Governor’s race that found current incumbent Brian Kemp (R) nipping Democrat Stacey Abrams by just over one percentage point.

By Jim Ellis — Tuesday, Aug.

12, 2025

Senate

One of the tightest 2026 US Senate races is sure to be found in the Peach State of Georgia and a new statewide poll already confirms a developing toss-up general election.

The TIPP Poll organization released the results of their new survey (July 28-Aug. To provide a more accurate picture of the election, our polling average gives more weight to polls from pollsters with an excellent track record, polls conducted recently, and polls with large sample sizes.

Finally, the third section tracks how popular all the potential candidates are in each state using favorability/unfavourability polling. The real battle would then come in the general election, where Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff is expected to have a significant advantage.

The poll from Rosetta Stone/InsiderAdvantage found that in the primary, Collins led with 25%, followed by Rep.

Buddy Carter at 20%, and former Alabama football coach Derek Dooley at 12%. Georgia is a state Democrats can win even without a clear advantage, as demonstrated in the 2022 Senate race, when Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock defeated Republican Herschel Walker in a runoff by 2.8 points, when the Generic Congressional Ballot had Republicans favored.

In the Senate race, Democratic Sen.

Jon Ossoff also benefits from incumbency. Still, the Senator holds almost $15.5 million in his campaign account according to the June 30 Federal Election Commission finance report.

Rep. In 2024, Donald Trump carried Georgia by just 2.2 points.

These narrow margins give Democrats an edge in Georgia, similar to other swing states where small shifts can decide outcomes.

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Track the latest polls for the 2026 Senate Elections. Second, scroll to the primaries section to see which candidates are leading in the Democratic and Republican contests that will decide each party’s nominees.

In the 2024 presidential vote, Trump defeated President Biden, 50.7 – 48.5 percent by a more comfortable margin of 115,100 votes from more than 5.2 million cast ballots, but still a close final tally.

Additionally, Georgia is also one of the few states that holds a post-general election runoff should no candidate receive majority support (Mississippi is another and Louisiana is changing from their jungle primary/December runoff system to a traditional primary and general election beginning in 2026), and the ’26 Senate race advancing into political overtime is certainly a distinct possibility.

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Along with the Michigan and North Carolina Senate races, we can count on the Georgia Senate contest attracting a major share of national political attention next year.